Daily snapshot — conditions can change after publication. Issued ; 24-hour window ends Nov 8, 2026 at 11:31 PM EST.
At issue time, 2,457 of 2,468 catalogued Flex pickup sites in United States had an available 24-hour lightning-related closure estimate. 11 were not rated. An unavailable estimate is not 0%, an all-clear, or evidence that a station is operating.
What the numbers mean today
6 rated sites had a model estimate of at least 20% over the 24-hour forecast window; 4 were at least 50%. These are descriptive reporting bands, not validated alert thresholds. 3 of the available estimates were still learning and have not passed the model’s reliability checks. These estimates concern a new lightning-related closure indication, not every possible weather closure, an official Amazon decision, a cancelled block, or payment eligibility. Weather systems can affect many nearby stations together; do not add percentages or read the count as an expected number of closures.
Forecast snapshot: Nov 7, 2026 at 11:31 PM EST. Weather-status snapshot: Nov 7, 2026 at 11:34 PM EST. Input coverage varies by location. Japan has no local model percentage in this report. Stations already marked closed at issue time are not assigned a new-closure probability.
Regional watch
Areas are ordered by the share of rated sites at 20% or above. Counts include learning estimates; a higher count is not proof of greater forecast reliability. Regions need at least 10 sites and 10 rated sites to show a numerical summary; smaller groups are withheld so this page does not expose individual station forecasts.
| Area | Rated / catalogued | At least 20% | At least 50% | Still learning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas, United States | 192 / 202 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Alabama, United States | 15 / 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Arkansas, United States | 13 / 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Arizona, United States | 65 / 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| California, United States | 372 / 372 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Colorado, United States | 77 / 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Connecticut, United States | 36 / 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| District of Columbia, United States | 12 / 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Florida, United States | 181 / 181 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Georgia, United States | 79 / 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Iowa, United States | 20 / 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Idaho, United States | 11 / 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Illinois, United States | 110 / 110 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Indiana, United States | 37 / 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas, United States | 22 / 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kentucky, United States | 18 / 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Louisiana, United States | 24 / 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Massachusetts, United States | 78 / 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Maryland, United States | 60 / 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Michigan, United States | 44 / 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Minnesota, United States | 31 / 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Missouri, United States | 38 / 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mississippi, United States | 10 / 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Montana, United States | 12 / 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| North Carolina, United States | 68 / 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nebraska, United States | 11 / 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| New Hampshire, United States | 12 / 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| New Jersey, United States | 86 / 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| New Mexico, United States | 17 / 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nevada, United States | 29 / 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| New York, United States | 127 / 127 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ohio, United States | 70 / 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oklahoma, United States | 25 / 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oregon, United States | 31 / 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pennsylvania, United States | 103 / 103 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| South Carolina, United States | 28 / 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tennessee, United States | 37 / 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Utah, United States | 25 / 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Virginia, United States | 66 / 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Washington, United States | 86 / 86 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Wisconsin, United States | 22 / 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 smaller or insufficiently rated areas are included in the coverage total but not the regional table.
Your stations at issue time
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Other weather that can disrupt pickup
Wind, heat, cold, air quality, rain and winter weather can affect pickup even when the lightning estimate is low. Where an authorized station had a weather-specific advisory at issue time, its context appears above. Those indications describe the tracker’s reading, not a calibrated probability for those hazards. This report does not turn a rain forecast, temperature or general warning into a made-up closure percentage.
Before your block
- Check the live map and your station’s latest reports shortly before travel; this bulletin is one morning snapshot.
- Check official local warnings and the Flex app for pickup or block instructions. A closure indication does not guarantee cancellation or payment.
- Plan a safe shelter and route. For US lightning guidance, see the National Weather Service lightning safety page. Follow your local weather service and emergency authorities elsewhere.
How this bulletin is made
Automatically generated from the same station catalogue, weather observations, storm guidance and learned closure models already used by this tracker. No additional weather API calls or language-model service are required. Counts and sentences are assembled from the saved issue-time data, not a human-written forecast. The model can be wrong, especially in bands marked learning; healthy publication data does not mean every station or weather input is covered. This article is not meteorological advice or an official closure notice. Read how to interpret accuracy, our editorial and corrections policy, and report an error to support.